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VfR Neumunster vs Oldenburger SV

Germany Germany

Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

VfR Neumunster play Oldenburger SV in the Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, VfR Neumunster averaged 1.97 goals scored and 2 conceded. Oldenburger SV averaged 2.03 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. In past meetings, VfR Neumunster won 3, Oldenburger SV won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 19, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for VfR Neumunster and 1.56 for Oldenburger SV. This points to a VfR Neumunster double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
VfR Neumunster
15%
Draws
30%
Oldenburger SV
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfR Neumunster

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • VfR Neumunster picked up more points recently compared to Oldenburger SV.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
VfR Neumunster Clean Sheet 15%
Oldenburger SV Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VfR Neumunster Oldenburger SV
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.97 2.03
Goals Conceded 2 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
VfR Neumunster vs Oldenburger SV
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Oldenburger SV vs VfR Neumunster
0:4
Apr 13, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
VfR Neumunster vs Oldenburger SV
2:1
Oct 3, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Oldenburger SV vs VfR Neumunster
3:1
Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
VfR Neumunster vs Oldenburger SV
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VfR Neumunster 53 / 100
Oldenburger SV 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VfR Neumunster Oldenburger SV

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfR Neumunster Win (1)
Secondary Pick VfR Neumunster & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +6.8%
1.20
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

VfR Neumunster attacking → ← attacking Oldenburger SV

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VfR Neumunster scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Oldenburger SV let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

VfR Neumunster went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Oldenburger SV lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 29
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Todesfelde30262280:2477
2Holstein Kiel II30205583:2665
3Kilia Kiel30194787:3761
4Eichede301611359:3059
5VfR Neumunster301551061:5550
6Heider SV301451159:5847
7PSV Neumunster301351268:6244
8Phonix Lubeck B301261263:7042
9Nordmark Satrup301241444:5140
10Kaltenkirchener301061449:5336
11Rotenhof30971451:7034
12Hohenwestedt30851748:6429
13Oldenburger SV30851761:8629
14Eutin 0830761732:6527
15Inter Turkspor Kiel30622231:7720
16Preussen Reinfeld30442238:8616