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Viana vs Lago Verde

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lago Verde in this Maranhense 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lago Verde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Viana
20%
Draws
73%
Lago Verde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lago Verde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Viana haven't matched Lago Verde's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Lago Verde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 49%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Viana Clean Sheet 10%
Lago Verde Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viana Lago Verde
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 0.86 2.47
Goals Conceded 1.76 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.70 2.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Maranhense 2
Viana vs Lago Verde
0:4
Jun 14, 2026 Maranhense 2
Lago Verde vs Viana
7:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viana 10 / 100
Lago Verde 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viana Lago Verde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lago Verde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Lago Verde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 17 matches.

Viana scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Viana remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Viana VS Lago Verde
0.4 Goals Scored 2.25
3.4 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 75%
60% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Viana

(Home)
04 Jul
Viana
0 : 4
Lago Verde
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
14 Jun
Lago Verde
7 : 1
Viana
07 Jun
Viana
0 : 0
Pinheiro
23 Apr
Tuntum
4 : 0
Viana
Page 1 of 6

Lago Verde

(Away)
25 Jul
Lago Verde
1 : 2
Araioses
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Lago Verde
5 : 2
Expressinho
11 Jul
Expressinho
0 : 1
Lago Verde
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araioses 5 4 1 0 6:0 13
2 Sao Luis 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Tupan 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
4 Expressinho 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
5 Americano Bacabal 5 1 1 3 3:9 4
6 Sao Jose (MA) 5 1 0 4 4:8 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 0 1 13:3 9
2 Pinheiro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Viana 4 0 1 3 2:13 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Timon EC (MA) 4 2 2 0 4:1 8
2 Cordino EC 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
3 Balsas 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Maranhense 2 (Play Offs)