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Viana vs Sampaio Correa

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Jair
64' Event
Adriano
90' Event
Joao Lenger

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2025 game between Viana and Sampaio Correa finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sampaio Correa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Viana
15%
Draws
76%
Sampaio Correa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sampaio Correa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Viana haven't matched Sampaio Correa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sampaio Correa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Maranhense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Viana Clean Sheet 10%
Sampaio Correa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viana Sampaio Correa
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 9 15
Draws 4 15
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.86 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.76 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Maranhense
Sampaio Correa vs Viana
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Maranhense
Viana vs Sampaio Correa
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Viana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sampaio Correa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jair
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adriano
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viana 10 / 100
Sampaio Correa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viana Sampaio Correa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sampaio Correa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Viana scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Sampaio Correa let in goals in 59% of their last 37 matches.

Solid form: Viana remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Viana VS Sampaio Correa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
3.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Viana

(Home)
04 Jul
Viana
0 : 4
Lago Verde
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
14 Jun
Lago Verde
7 : 1
Viana
07 Jun
Viana
0 : 0
Pinheiro
23 Apr
Tuntum
4 : 0
Viana
Page 1 of 6

Sampaio Correa

(Away)
27 Jun
Trem
1 : 2
Sampaio Correa
21 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 2
Trem
07 Jun
Sampaio Correa
0 : 1
Iguatu
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 May
Sampaio Correa
4 : 0
Moto Club
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)