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Viareggio vs Finale

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Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 Stadio dei Pini, Viareggio
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Viareggio in this Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Viareggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Viareggio
30%
Draws
23%
Finale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Viareggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Viareggio lately — more wins on the board than Finale.
  • Viareggio are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Viareggio Clean Sheet 20%
Finale Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Viareggio Finale
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.06 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Viareggio vs Finale
2:0
Nov 26, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Viareggio
1:1
Jan 29, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Viareggio vs Finale
3:2
Sep 25, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Viareggio
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Viareggio 40 / 100
Finale 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Viareggio Finale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Viareggio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finale's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Viareggio scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Finale registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Viareggio VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Viareggio

(Home)
07 Aug
Spezia
2 : 0
Viareggio
12 May
UC Sinalunghese
3 : 0
Viareggio
05 May
Viareggio
0 : 0
Scandicci
28 Apr
Follonica Gavorrano
3 : 1
Viareggio
18 Apr
Viareggio
2 : 2
Pianese
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Finale

(Away)
06 May
Finale
1 : 2
Scandicci
29 Apr
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Finale
22 Apr
Finale
1 : 3
Albissola
15 Apr
Viareggio
2 : 0
Finale
08 Apr
Finale
1 : 1
Sanremese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albissola 34 21 6 7 56:30 69
2 Sanremese 34 20 7 7 58:34 67
3 FC Ponsacco 34 17 11 6 49:31 62
4 Real Forte Querceta 34 16 12 6 50:27 60
5 Viareggio 34 17 9 8 57:46 58
6 Massese 34 15 11 8 50:33 56
7 Savona 34 16 7 11 53:34 55
8 Seravezza Pozzi 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
9 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 12 10 12 41:34 46
10 Ghiviborgo 34 10 14 10 48:45 44
11 Ligorna 34 11 10 13 41:50 43
12 Sestri Levante 34 11 9 14 35:34 42
13 Lavagnese 34 11 8 15 35:42 41
14 Rignanese 34 10 8 16 36:60 38
15 Scandicci 34 10 4 20 42:54 34
16 Finale 34 6 12 16 38:49 30
17 Argentina 34 4 9 21 29:71 21
18 Valdinievole Montecatini 34 2 9 23 19:74 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)