Sport Picks
Vibonese vs ACR Messina
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia 
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Vibonese and ACR Messina finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and ACR Messina come out ahead of Vibonese on wins alone.
- Model gives Vibonese a 34% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
ACR Messina Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vibonese | ACR Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.12 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs ACR Messina
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
ACR Messina vs Vibonese
1:1
Feb 26, 2022 Serie C - Group C
Vibonese vs ACR Messina
1:3
Oct 20, 2021 Serie C - Group C
ACR Messina vs Vibonese
0:0
Mar 4, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs ACR Messina
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vibonese 86 / 100
ACR Messina 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vibonese ACR Messina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vibonese scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
ACR Messina let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Vibonese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vibonese VS ACR Messina
1.38 Goals Scored 0.71
1 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Vibonese
(Home) 20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0 Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3 Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1 Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4 Vibonese
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1 Vibonese
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0 Athletic Palermo
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1 Siracusa
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0 AS Acireale
19 Apr
Vibonese
2 : 3 Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 3
ACR Messina
(Away) 10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 ACR Messina
03 May
ACR Messina
1 : 0 Milazzo
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1 ACR Messina
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0 USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 ACR Messina
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1 ACR Messina
19 Apr
Lamezia
1 : 1 ACR Messina
02 Apr
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0 ACR Messina
22 Mar
Vibonese
0 : 0 ACR Messina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
