Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs AS Acireale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Coulibaly S.
45'
Coulibaly S.
90' Event
Di Gilio G.

AI Match Summary

Vibonese in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vibonese
30%
Draws
12%
AS Acireale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Acireale average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Vibonese's 1.07.
  • Vibonese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese AS Acireale
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs AS Acireale
1:0
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs AS Acireale
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Vibonese
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs AS Acireale
1:1
Nov 20, 2024 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Vibonese
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Gilio G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AS Acireale Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 95 / 100
AS Acireale 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese AS Acireale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AS Acireale conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Vibonese found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Vibonese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS AS Acireale
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
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AS Acireale

(Away)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
Nissa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)