Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs AS Acireale

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Carnevale A.

AI Match Summary

Vibonese in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vibonese
30%
Draws
12%
AS Acireale
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vibonese lately — more wins on the board than AS Acireale.
  • Win probability leans Vibonese's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Vibonese have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vibonese, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
AS Acireale Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese AS Acireale
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs AS Acireale
1:0
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs AS Acireale
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Vibonese
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs AS Acireale
1:1
Nov 20, 2024 Serie D - Group I
AS Acireale vs Vibonese
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Carnevale A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

AS Acireale Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 68 / 100
AS Acireale 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese AS Acireale

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Acireale let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Vibonese scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Vibonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS AS Acireale
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

AS Acireale

(Away)
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
USD Ragusa
19 Apr
Gelbison
2 : 1
AS Acireale
12 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0
Nissa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Vibonese 1
AS Acireale 0
USD Ragusa 0
ACR Messina 0