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Stadium Background

Vibonese vs Digiesse PraiaTortora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Marsico A.
79' Event
Castro M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between Vibonese and Digiesse PraiaTortora finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Vibonese
35%
Draws
24%
Digiesse PraiaTortora
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Vibonese carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vibonese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
Digiesse PraiaTortora Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Digiesse PraiaTortora
Matches Played 33 6
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 1
Goals Scored 1.21 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Digiesse PraiaTortora
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsico A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Digiesse PraiaTortora Compare

Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 95 / 100
Digiesse PraiaTortora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Digiesse PraiaTortora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Vibonese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Digiesse PraiaTortora conceded in 50% of 6 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Digiesse PraiaTortora
1.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
Page 1 of 7

Digiesse PraiaTortora

(Away)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
0 : 0
Siracusa
16 Sept
Athletic Palermo
1 : 1
Digiesse PraiaTortora
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)