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Vibonese vs Gela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vibonese host Gela in the Serie D - Group I. This one's hard to separate. Vibonese have averaged 1.1 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Gela's 1.14 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Vibonese slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.31 - 0.81) back Gela to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vibonese
30%
Draws
23%
Gela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gela have won more games recently than Vibonese.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Vibonese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 20%
Gela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Gela
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Vibonese
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Gela
1:2
Jan 21, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Gela
1:0
Nov 22, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Gela vs Vibonese
1:1
Apr 25, 2010 Serie C2/C
Gela vs Vibonese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 85 / 100
Gela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Gela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vibonese scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Gela let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Vibonese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Gela
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
Page 1 of 6

Gela

(Away)
04 Oct
Gela
0 : 0
Athletic Palermo
27 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 0
Gela
20 Sept
Gela
0 : 0
Enna
16 Sept
Siracusa
2 : 1
Gela
13 Sept
Gela
2 : 1
Castrumfavara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)