Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs Lamezia Terme - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Wed, Oct 18, 2023
1 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Furina V.
75'
Duli G.
87' Event
Chironi G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Lamezia Terme advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Vibonese
22%
Draws
26%
Lamezia Terme
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vibonese come out ahead of Lamezia Terme on wins alone.
  • Vibonese are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Vibonese have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lamezia Terme, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 16%
Lamezia Terme Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Lamezia Terme
Matches Played 40 4
Wins 17 1
Draws 7 1
Losses 16 2
Goals Scored 1.35 1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Lamezia Terme
0:0
Nov 26, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs Vibonese
0:0
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Vibonese vs Lamezia Terme
1:2
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia Terme vs Vibonese
0:1
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Lamezia Terme
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Furina V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Lamezia Terme Compare

Top Goalscorer Chironi G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 75 / 100
Lamezia Terme 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Lamezia Terme

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vibonese scored in 73% of their last 40 outings.

Lamezia Terme has conceded goals in 67% of their last 3 outings.

Recent resilience: Vibonese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
Page 1 of 8

Lamezia Terme

(Away)
15 Nov
Angri
:
Lamezia Terme
01 Nov
Lamezia Terme
4 : 1
S. Agata
29 Oct
Nuova Gioiese
0 : 0
Lamezia Terme
25 Oct
Reggina
3 : 0
Lamezia Terme

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Virtus Bolzano 0
Luparense FC 3
Chions 1
Clodiense 1
Ravenna 0
Campodarsego 1
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Arconatese 1
Alcione Milano 0
Castellanzese 0
Varesina 2
Pro Palazzolo 1
Desenzano Calvina 0
Real Calepina 1
Ponte San Pietro 0
Asti Calcio 1
PDHA 0
Chisola 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 1
Fanfulla 0
Fezzanese 0
Vado 1
Livorno 2
Ghiviborgo 1
Poggibonsi 2
Aglianese Calcio 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Sangiovannese 1
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 2
Pistoiese 1
San Donnino 0
Corticella 3
Forli FC 1
Imolese 3
Fano 2
Sambenedettese 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Campobasso 1
Grosseto 2
Nuova Florida 3
Tivoli Calcio 1
Ostiamare 0
Trastevere Calcio 2
Latte Dolce 0
Real Monterotondo 1
Cynthialbalonga 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Casarano 4
Fidelis Andria 2
Bitonto 1
San Marzano 2
Paganese 3
Cavese 3
Rotonda 0
Angri 3
Real Casalnuovo 1
Vibonese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Akragas 2
Canicatti 1
Trapani 2
Sancataldese 1
1/16-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Luparense FC 0
Clodiense 1
Campodarsego 0
Arconatese 0
Varesina 1
Pro Palazzolo 2
Real Calepina 1
Asti Calcio 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 2
Vado 1
Livorno 3
Poggibonsi 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 1
Corticella 0
Imolese 2
Fano 0
Campobasso 1
Nuova Florida 2
Tivoli Calcio 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Cynthialbalonga 1
Casarano 0
Fidelis Andria 3
Paganese 0
Cavese 1
Angri -
Lamezia Terme -
Akragas 0
Trapani 3
1/8-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 2
Varesina 3
Pro Palazzolo 0
Bra 0
USD Casatese 1
Livorno 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Imolese 1
Campobasso 0
Nuova Florida 2
Cynthialbalonga 1
Fidelis Andria 3
Cavese 1
Angri 0
Trapani 3
Quarter-finals
Clodiense 0
Varesina 1
USD Casatese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Imolese 1
Nuova Florida 0
Fidelis Andria 1
Trapani 2
Semi-finals
Varesina 3
Follonica Gavorrano 4
Imolese 1
Trapani 3
Final
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Trapani 2