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Vibonese vs Real Casalnuovo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Convitto R.
54' Event
Convitto R.

AI Match Summary

Vibonese in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vibonese
20%
Draws
23%
Real Casalnuovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vibonese haven't matched Real Casalnuovo's recent run of results.
  • Vibonese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 16%
Real Casalnuovo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Real Casalnuovo
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.16 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Real Casalnuovo vs Vibonese
2:1
Oct 15, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Real Casalnuovo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Convitto R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Real Casalnuovo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 84 / 100
Real Casalnuovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Real Casalnuovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Real Casalnuovo has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Vibonese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
04 Oct
Vibonese
2 : 0
Digiesse PraiaTortora
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
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Real Casalnuovo

(Away)
05 May
Real Casalnuovo
3 : 4
Siracusa
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
14 Apr
AS Acireale
1 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
07 Apr
Real Casalnuovo
0 : 1
Reggina
28 Mar
Igea Virtus
3 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)