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Vibonese vs Sambiase

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Sasanelli L.
78' Event
Sasanelli L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Vibonese and Sambiase finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vibonese
30%
Draws
23%
Sambiase
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sambiase carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sambiase have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 19%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Sambiase
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Sambiase
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Vibonese
3:0
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs Vibonese
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Sambiase
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasanelli L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Sambiase Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 31 / 100
Sambiase 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Sambiase

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sambiase's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vibonese stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Sambiase
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
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Sambiase

(Away)
08 Aug
Salernitana
2 : 1
Sambiase
03 May
Reggina
4 : 2
Sambiase
26 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 1
Nissa
19 Apr
Milazzo
0 : 1
Sambiase
12 Apr
Enna
1 : 1
Sambiase
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)