Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs San Luca

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Gaeta D.
35' Event
Liepa K.
41' Event
Convitto R.

AI Match Summary

Vibonese in this Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vibonese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Vibonese
15%
Draws
20%
San Luca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Vibonese have won more games recently than San Luca.
  • Vibonese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vibonese here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
San Luca Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese San Luca
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.06 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Vibonese
0:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs San Luca
5:1
Jan 8, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs San Luca
3:1
Sep 18, 2022 Serie D - Group I
San Luca vs Vibonese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Convitto R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gaeta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

San Luca Compare

Top Goalscorer Liepa K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 95 / 100
San Luca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese San Luca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vibonese scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: San Luca conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vibonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 7

San Luca

(Away)
12 May
San Luca
0 : 2
Locri 1909
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
28 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Real Casalnuovo
21 Apr
Akragas
1 : 2
San Luca
14 Apr
San Luca
0 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)