Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vibonese vs Sancataldese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 Stadio Luigi Razza, Vibo Valentia
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Rozzi A.
56' Event
Russo F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sancataldese in this Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sancataldese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Vibonese
30%
Draws
23%
Sancataldese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vibonese lately — more wins on the board than Sancataldese.
  • Vibonese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%
Sancataldese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vibonese Sancataldese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.78
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Sancataldese
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Vibonese
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sancataldese vs Vibonese
0:2
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Sancataldese
2:0
Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Sancataldese
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vibonese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Sancataldese Compare

Top Goalscorer Rozzi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vibonese 95 / 100
Sancataldese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vibonese Sancataldese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sancataldese let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Vibonese found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Vibonese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vibonese VS Sancataldese
1.13 Goals Scored 0.57
1 Goals Conceded 1.57
63% Over 1.5 57%
25% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Vibonese

(Home)
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Vibonese
3 : 0
Athletic Palermo
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Vibonese
1 : 1
Siracusa
06 Sept
Trapani
0 : 4
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

Sancataldese

(Away)
03 May
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Sancataldese
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1
Lamezia
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0
Sancataldese
12 Apr
Sancataldese
0 : 1
Gelbison
02 Apr
Vibonese
0 : 2
Sancataldese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)