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Vicalvaro vs Aravaca CF

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2013/2014 game between Vicalvaro and Aravaca CF finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aravaca CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vicalvaro
15%
Draws
57%
Aravaca CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aravaca CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aravaca CF come out ahead of Vicalvaro on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aravaca CF's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vicalvaro Clean Sheet 20%
Aravaca CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vicalvaro Aravaca CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Vicalvaro vs Aravaca CF
0:2
Oct 20, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Aravaca CF vs Vicalvaro
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vicalvaro 12 / 100
Aravaca CF 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vicalvaro Aravaca CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aravaca CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aravaca CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Aravaca CF lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Vicalvaro found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Aravaca CF
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vicalvaro

(Home)
15 Aug
Vicalvaro
0 : 3
Carabanchel
19 May
Vicalvaro
0 : 1
RSD Alcala
12 May
Santa Ana
6 : 2
Vicalvaro
05 May
Vicalvaro
1 : 0
Alcorcon B
28 Apr
Tres Cantos
1 : 0
Vicalvaro
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Aravaca CF

(Away)
11 May
Carabanchel
1 : 0
Aravaca CF
04 May
Aravaca CF
6 : 1
El Alamo
26 Apr
Collado Villalba
4 : 2
Aravaca CF
17 Apr
Aravaca CF
1 : 0
Galapagar
13 Apr
Trival Valderas
2 : 1
Aravaca CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trival Valderas 42 24 11 7 65:33 83
2 Rayo Vallecano B 42 25 6 11 86:50 81
3 Union Adarve 42 23 12 7 60:30 81
4 San Sebastian Reyes 42 23 11 8 68:31 80
5 DUX Internacional de Madrid 42 25 5 12 69:46 80
6 Pozuelo de Alarcon 42 19 14 9 60:37 71
7 Rayo Majadahonda 42 20 9 13 71:57 69
8 San Fernando de Henares 42 18 13 11 58:40 67
9 RSD Alcala 42 18 13 11 50:32 67
10 Parla 42 16 15 11 52:50 63
11 Mexico 42 15 11 16 46:49 56
12 AD Colmenar 42 14 13 15 63:70 55
13 Alcorcon B 42 15 6 21 65:67 51
14 Atl. Madrid C 42 13 11 18 56:62 50
15 Atletico Pinto 42 12 14 16 58:61 50
16 AD Torrejon 42 13 11 18 56:64 50
17 Collado Villalba 42 10 15 17 37:56 45
18 Aravaca CF 42 10 12 20 44:65 42
19 Real Aranjuez 42 9 7 26 43:82 34
20 Carabanchel 42 5 16 21 33:68 31
21 Vicalvaro 42 5 13 24 22:65 28
22 Los Yebenes San Bruno 42 6 10 26 43:90 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)