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Vicenza vs Alcione Milano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Stadio Romeo Menti, Vicenza
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Tordini M.
34'
Talarico R.
58'
Sub
Alessio F. In: Vitale M.
Out: Alessio F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Vicenza and Alcione Milano finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcione Milano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Vicenza
35%
Draws
49%
Alcione Milano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcione Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Alcione Milano haven't matched Vicenza's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vicenza have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 15%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vicenza Alcione Milano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 6 13
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.93 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Alcione Milano
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Vicenza
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Alcione Milano
4:1
Sep 21, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Vicenza
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vicenza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Alcione Milano Compare

Top Goalscorer Plescia V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vicenza 31 / 100
Alcione Milano 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vicenza Alcione Milano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vicenza scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Alcione Milano conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Vicenza went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vicenza VS Alcione Milano
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vicenza

(Home)
03 Oct
Koper
2 : 1
Vicenza
20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1
Vicenza
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1
Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2
Vicenza
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0
Vicenza
Page 1 of 6

Alcione Milano

(Away)
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4
Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2
Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)