Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Rauti N.
(Penalty)
42'
42'
Ledonne N.
Penalty Missed
45'
45'
Ledonne N.
AI Match Summary
Vicenza in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vicenza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Vicenza have won more games recently than Novara.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Vicenza Clean Sheet 16%
Novara Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vicenza | Novara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.9 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Novara
3:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Vicenza
2:2
Mar 13, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Novara
1:0
Oct 29, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Novara vs Vicenza
0:0
Apr 7, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Vicenza vs Novara
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vicenza Compare
Top Goalscorer Caferri L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stuckler D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Novara Compare
Top Goalscorer Ledonne N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vicenza 31 / 100
Novara 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vicenza Novara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vicenza found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Novara has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Vicenza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Vicenza VS Novara
1.71 Goals Scored 1.25
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vicenza
(Home) 20 Sept
Verona
2 : 1 Vicenza
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1 Juve Stabia
06 Sept
Entella
2 : 2 Vicenza
29 Aug
Avellino
3 : 0 Vicenza
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2 Catanzaro
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Vicenza
1 : 1 Juve Stabia
21 Aug
Vicenza
3 : 2 Catanzaro
08 Aug
Vicenza
1 : 2 Catania
02 Aug
Vicenza
4 : 0 Luparense FC
16 May
Vicenza
1 : 4 Benevento
Page 1 of 3
Novara
(Away) 26 Sept
Novara
0 : 2 Ospitaletto
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2 Carpi
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0 Novara
07 Sept
Renate
1 : 2 Novara
22 Aug
Juventus U23
1 : 0 Novara
16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
05 Aug
Entella
2 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 69:26 | 89 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 49:24 | 69 |
| 3 | Renate | 38 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 53:37 | 64 |
| 4 | Lecco | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 47:34 | 64 |
| 5 | Trento | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:42 | 63 |
| 6 | Cittadella | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 45:43 | 59 |
| 7 | Lumezzane | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 46:39 | 56 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 35:28 | 55 |
| 9 | Arzignano | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:48 | 53 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 38:39 | 52 |
| 11 | AlbinoLeffe | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 51:49 | 50 |
| 12 | Inter U23 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 40:41 | 48 |
| 13 | Novara | 38 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 40:39 | 47 |
| 14 | Pro Vercelli | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 39:55 | 46 |
| 15 | Ospitaletto | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:43 | 45 |
| 16 | Pergolettese | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 17 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:61 | 40 |
| 18 | Virtus Verona | 38 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 34:62 | 25 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 38 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 34:70 | 23 |
| 20 | Triestina | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 45:59 | 12 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
