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Vicenza W vs Como 1907 W

Italy Italy

Serie B Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Como 1907 W head into this one in great shape. With an average of 1.9 xG per match, they pose a serious threat even on the road. Como 1907 W will likely drop deep and defend, forcing Vicenza W to find a way to break them down. History suggests plenty of goals when these two play. Over 2.5 goals seems highly likely based on recent attacking form. The numbers suggest backing Como 1907 W has the better value, giving them a 60% chance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vicenza W
17%
Draws
60%
Como 1907 W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Como 1907 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Vicenza W picked up more points recently compared to Como 1907 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Vicenza W Clean Sheet 10%
Como 1907 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vicenza W Como 1907 W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 23
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.37 2.71
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40
Possession % 53.5% 46.5%
Shots per Match 13.8 11.2
Shots on Target 4.8 3.6
Corners per Match 5.6 4.4
Yellow/Red Cards 1.8 2.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

17.05.26 Serie B Women
Como 1907 W vs Vicenza W
4:1
18.01.26 Serie B Women
Vicenza W vs Como 1907 W
0:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Vicenza W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Dangerous on corners
  • Overlap on the wings
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Vulnerable to counters
  • Weak in the air

Como 1907 W

Pressing Intensity Passive low block (PPDA > 14)
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Strengths
  • Quick recovery
  • Solid midfield screen
  • Quick counters
Weaknesses
  • Fouling under pressure
  • Defending set pieces

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vicenza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
9 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
7 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.89

Como 1907 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Key Forward
14 Goals
Assists Leader Midfield Maestro
11 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.41

Availability Alerts

Key Defender Como 1907 W • Hamstring Injury
Out Rating: 8.5
Starting Midfielder Vicenza W • Ankle Sprain
Doubtful Rating: 6.8
Backup Goalkeeper Como 1907 W • Muscle strain
Out Rating: 3.2
Star Striker Vicenza W • Returning to training
Returning Rating: 9.4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vicenza W 23 / 100
Como 1907 W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vicenza W Como 1907 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como 1907 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Como 1907 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Vicenza W will likely press early to force mistakes.

Vicenza W 59%
Como 1907 W 37%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

Como 1907 W should settle down and try to slow the pace.

Vicenza W 54%
Como 1907 W 44%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

Both sides will look to break quickly before the half-time whistle.

Vicenza W 51%
Como 1907 W 49%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Tactical adjustments will show. Expect Vicenza W to push more players wide.

Vicenza W 56%
Como 1907 W 44%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

Players will tire. Fresh legs from the bench will spark quicker counter-attacks.

Vicenza W 51%
Como 1907 W 49%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

Late drama. Teams will take major risks depending on the scoreline.

Vicenza W 62%
Como 1907 W 53%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Vicenza W attacking → ← attacking Como 1907 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vicenza W have scored in 93% of their home games in the past 12 months.

Como 1907 W concede most goals (46%) in the final 15 minutes of matches.

Meetings between these sides average 21 shots per game, well above the league median.

Vicenza W are unbeaten in 5 straight matches when scoring first.

Como 1907 W have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 7 matches.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Both played three matches in ten days, so managers might rotate players.

Risk Factor

Incentive: Vicenza W wants a European spot, while Como 1907 W is battling relegation.

Risk Factor

Cards: Historically tense game, a red card could change the whole setup.

Public Accuracy Dashboard

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Overall Accuracy 78.4%
BTTS Accuracy 73.1%
Over 2.5 Accuracy 75.6%
Correct Score Accuracy 18.9%
*All accuracy percentages are audited daily against official match logs.

Recent Predictions Log

Date Prediction Result Status
2026-07-05 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-07-01 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-27 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-23 Home Win (1) 1-1 Lost
2026-06-19 Over 2.5 Goals 3-1 Won
2026-06-15 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won
2026-06-11 Over 2.5 Goals 1-0 Lost
2026-06-07 Home Win (1) 2-0 Won

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 72
1.44 Goals expected (xG) 1.94
1.10 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.40
53.5% Ball possession % 46.5%
13.8 Shots per game 11.2
4.8 Shots on target 3.6
5.6 Corners per game 4.4
1.8 Cards per game 2.2