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Victor San Marino vs Prato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
D'Agostino M.
72' Event
De Santis A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Victor San Marino
22%
Draws
60%
Prato
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Prato lately — more wins on the board than Victor San Marino.
  • Prato are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Victor San Marino Clean Sheet 22%
Prato Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victor San Marino Prato
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 15 21
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0 1
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Prato vs Victor San Marino
0:2
Dec 17, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Victor San Marino vs Prato
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victor San Marino Compare

Top Goalscorer De Santis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer D'Agostino M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victor San Marino 21 / 100
Prato 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victor San Marino Prato

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victor San Marino found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Victor San Marino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Prato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Prato
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carpi32215666:3168
2Ravenna32199456:1366
3Corticella321831159:4057
4Victor San Marino32176944:3757
5Lentigione32168849:3156
6Forli FC32167948:3555
7Prato321281237:4144
8Sangiuliano City321281232:3744
9Fanfulla3211101128:3543
10Sant'Angelo321181347:4441
11Aglianese Calcio321181332:3941
12Imolese321261431:3340
13Sammaurese321141737:4837
14SCD Progresso321141727:4337
15San Donnino325101732:5825
16Certaldo32662022:5524
17Mezzolara32562123:5021
18Pistoiese00000:00