Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Victoria CD vs Castillo CF

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Victoria CD
20%
Draws
38%
Castillo CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Victoria CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Castillo CF haven't matched Victoria CD's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Castillo CF taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Victoria CD Clean Sheet 16%
Castillo CF Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria CD Castillo CF
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 14
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.92 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Castillo CF
0:0
Oct 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Victoria CD
1:2
Apr 5, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Castillo CF vs Victoria CD
5:0
Nov 16, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Castillo CF
3:0
Mar 2, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Castillo CF
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria CD 23 / 100
Castillo CF 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria CD Castillo CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castillo CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria CD's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Castillo CF has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Victoria CD went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria CD VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria CD

(Home)
15 May
Victoria CD
2 : 1
UD Guia
08 May
Pajara Playas
2 : 0
Victoria CD
01 May
Victoria CD
1 : 0
Orientacion Maritima
24 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
2 : 0
Victoria CD
17 Apr
Victoria CD
1 : 0
UD Realejos
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Castillo CF

(Away)
09 May
Los Llanos
2 : 3
Castillo CF
02 May
Castillo CF
3 : 0
SD Tenisca
25 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 2
Castillo CF
11 Apr
CD Charco Del Pino
0 : 0
Castillo CF
04 Apr
Castillo CF
0 : 1
Teror
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corralejo 41 21 16 4 56:25 79
2 Las Palmas B 41 20 14 7 67:38 74
3 Pajara Playas 41 21 11 9 64:36 74
4 CD Marino 41 19 13 9 65:39 70
5 Mensajero 41 17 17 7 59:36 68
6 Atletico Granadilla 41 19 11 11 55:48 68
7 Villa Santa Brigida 41 15 15 11 42:29 60
8 UD Realejos 41 15 11 15 45:43 56
9 AD Huracan 41 14 13 14 42:40 55
10 SD Tenisca 41 16 7 18 55:47 55
11 Tijarafe 41 12 16 13 51:53 52
12 Castillo CF 41 11 17 13 46:50 50
13 Orientacion Maritima 41 12 14 15 44:55 50
14 Teror 41 12 13 16 46:53 49
15 CD Laguna 41 12 11 18 41:54 47
16 Las Zocas 41 11 14 16 38:53 47
17 Victoria CD 41 10 17 14 37:44 47
18 CD Charco Del Pino 41 10 16 15 39:50 46
19 Galdar 41 9 13 19 34:62 40
20 Los Llanos 41 7 15 19 33:58 36
21 Univ. Las Palmas B 41 7 11 23 44:73 32
22 Fuerteventura 21 5 7 9 23:40 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)