Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Victoria CD vs Mensajero - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 game between Victoria CD and Mensajero finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Victoria CD
15%
Draws
42%
Mensajero
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria CD

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Mensajero carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Victoria CD Clean Sheet 18%
Mensajero Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria CD Mensajero
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 17
Draws 2 5
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Victoria CD
1:0
Nov 27, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Mensajero
2:0
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Mensajero
2:2
Dec 20, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Mensajero vs Victoria CD
0:0
May 17, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Victoria CD vs Mensajero
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria CD 32 / 100
Mensajero 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria CD Mensajero

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mensajero Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria CD's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Victoria CD stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Mensajero's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mensajero
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria CD

(Home)
15 May
Victoria CD
2 : 1
UD Guia
08 May
Pajara Playas
2 : 0
Victoria CD
01 May
Victoria CD
1 : 0
Orientacion Maritima
24 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
2 : 0
Victoria CD
17 Apr
Victoria CD
1 : 0
UD Realejos
Page 1 of 6

Mensajero

(Away)
03 Oct
Villaverde Norte
1 : 2
Mensajero
27 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
San Miguel
19 Sept
Anaza
1 : 0
Mensajero
13 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 0
Tenerife C
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2
Murcia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corralejo 41 21 16 4 56:25 79
2 Las Palmas B 41 20 14 7 67:38 74
3 Pajara Playas 41 21 11 9 64:36 74
4 CD Marino 41 19 13 9 65:39 70
5 Mensajero 41 17 17 7 59:36 68
6 Atletico Granadilla 41 19 11 11 55:48 68
7 Villa Santa Brigida 41 15 15 11 42:29 60
8 UD Realejos 41 15 11 15 45:43 56
9 AD Huracan 41 14 13 14 42:40 55
10 SD Tenisca 41 16 7 18 55:47 55
11 Tijarafe 41 12 16 13 51:53 52
12 Castillo CF 41 11 17 13 46:50 50
13 Orientacion Maritima 41 12 14 15 44:55 50
14 Teror 41 12 13 16 46:53 49
15 CD Laguna 41 12 11 18 41:54 47
16 Las Zocas 41 11 14 16 38:53 47
17 Victoria CD 41 10 17 14 37:44 47
18 CD Charco Del Pino 41 10 16 15 39:50 46
19 Galdar 41 9 13 19 34:62 40
20 Los Llanos 41 7 15 19 33:58 36
21 Univ. Las Palmas B 41 7 11 23 44:73 32
22 Fuerteventura 21 5 7 9 23:40 22
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)