Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024

Concordia Elblag

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Victoria Sulejowek play Concordia Elblag in the III Liga - Group I 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Victoria Sulejowek averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Concordia Elblag averaged 1.31 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Victoria Sulejowek won 1, Concordia Elblag won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Victoria Sulejowek and 2.13 for Concordia Elblag. This points to a Victoria Sulejowek double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Victoria Sulejowek

18%

Draws

32%

Concordia Elblag

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Victoria Sulejowek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence

Victoria Sulejowek picked up more points recently compared to Concordia Elblag.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 10%

Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Victoria Sulejowek	Concordia Elblag
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	12	7
Draws	6	5
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.63	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.81	3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group I

Victoria Sulejowek vs Concordia Elblag

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Nov 4, 2023 III Liga - Group I

Concordia Elblag vs Victoria Sulejowek

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 2 - 4

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Sulejowek 47 / 100

Concordia Elblag 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Victoria Sulejowek Concordia Elblag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Victoria Sulejowek or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19%

2.38

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Victoria Sulejowek attacking → ← attacking Concordia Elblag

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria Sulejowek scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Concordia Elblag let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Victoria Sulejowek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Concordia Elblag lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 26

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	23	7	4	106:32	76
2	Unia Skierniewice	34	19	8	7	78:46	65
3	Legia II	34	19	8	7	70:40	65
4	Swit Mazowiecki	34	15	11	8	70:52	56
5	GKS Belchatow	34	16	8	10	58:49	56
6	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	15	8	11	66:54	53
7	Pelikan	34	15	7	12	52:40	52
8	LKS Lomza	34	14	6	14	52:51	48
9	Bron Radom	34	12	12	10	39:43	48
10	Warta Sieradz	34	13	5	16	43:48	44
11	GKS Wikielec	34	11	10	13	37:46	43
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	9	14	43:50	42
13	Jagiellonia II	34	12	6	16	48:58	42
14	Victoria Sulejowek	34	11	8	15	41:48	41
15	Olimpia Zambrow	34	10	10	14	52:48	40
16	Concordia Elblag	34	8	6	20	37:98	30
17	Legionowo	34	7	6	21	41:71	27
18	Pilica Bialobrzegi	34	4	7	23	30:89	19