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Stadium Background

Victoria Sulejowek vs MKS Mlawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Hurenko I.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Sliwka K.
79' Event
Tworek J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Victoria Sulejowek
15%
Draws
34%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria Sulejowek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • MKS Mlawa have won more games recently than Victoria Sulejowek.
  • Model gives Victoria Sulejowek a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 10%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Sulejowek MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.67 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs MKS Mlawa
2:2
Sep 28, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Victoria Sulejowek
5:2
Jun 1, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Victoria Sulejowek
2:0
Nov 10, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs MKS Mlawa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Sulejowek Compare

Top Goalscorer Sliwka K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rudnicki K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Tworek J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Sulejowek 83 / 100
MKS Mlawa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Sulejowek MKS Mlawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Sulejowek Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Victoria Sulejowek scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

MKS Mlawa has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Victoria Sulejowek went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS MKS Mlawa
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Sulejowek

(Home)
07 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Victoria Sulejowek
31 May
Victoria Sulejowek
1 : 0
Pelikan
24 May
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1
Victoria Sulejowek
21 May
Victoria Sulejowek
4 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
17 May
Legia II
3 : 1
Victoria Sulejowek
Page 1 of 6

MKS Mlawa

(Away)
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Zabkovia Zabki
3 : 4
MKS Mlawa
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Jagiellonia II
7 : 4
MKS Mlawa
06 Sept
MKS Mlawa
0 : 2
LKS Lodz II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unia Skierniewice 34 23 5 6 81:30 74
2 Legia II 34 21 7 6 75:39 70
3 LKS Lomza 34 18 10 6 68:38 64
4 Warta Sieradz 34 16 7 11 46:42 55
5 Suwalki 34 13 9 12 46:38 48
6 Jagiellonia II 34 13 8 13 54:49 47
7 Swit Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 47:58 47
8 GKS Belchatow 34 12 10 12 52:52 46
9 Bron Radom 34 12 10 12 40:48 46
10 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 7 14 57:64 46
11 MKS Mlawa 34 12 8 14 67:62 44
12 Plock II 34 11 10 13 54:58 43
13 GKS Wikielec 34 10 12 12 39:45 42
14 Stomil Olsztyn 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
15 Victoria Sulejowek 34 11 8 15 52:59 41
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 34 9 14 11 46:60 41
17 Pelikan 34 9 6 19 34:58 33
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 34 2 6 26 26:72 12
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)