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Victoria Sulejowek vs Pelikan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Debski R.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2024/2025 game between Victoria Sulejowek and Pelikan finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victoria Sulejowek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Victoria Sulejowek
15%
Draws
45%
Pelikan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pelikan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria Sulejowek come out ahead of Pelikan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Victoria Sulejowek a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Victoria Sulejowek Clean Sheet 68%
Pelikan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Sulejowek Pelikan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Pelikan
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Club Friendly
Victoria Sulejowek vs Pelikan
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Victoria Sulejowek
0:4
May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Victoria Sulejowek vs Pelikan
4:0
Oct 22, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pelikan vs Victoria Sulejowek
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Sulejowek Compare

Top Goalscorer Debski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Pelikan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Sulejowek 51 / 100
Pelikan 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Sulejowek Pelikan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Victoria Sulejowek scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Pelikan has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Victoria Sulejowek remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pelikan
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Sulejowek

(Home)
07 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Victoria Sulejowek
31 May
Victoria Sulejowek
1 : 0
Pelikan
24 May
Stomil Olsztyn
2 : 1
Victoria Sulejowek
21 May
Victoria Sulejowek
4 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
17 May
Legia II
3 : 1
Victoria Sulejowek
Page 1 of 6

Pelikan

(Away)
03 Oct
Pelikan
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz II
26 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 3
Pelikan
19 Sept
Pelikan
1 : 0
Lidzbark Warmimski
12 Sept
Olimpia Elblag
1 : 0
Pelikan
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unia Skierniewice 34 23 5 6 81:30 74
2 Legia II 34 21 7 6 75:39 70
3 LKS Lomza 34 18 10 6 68:38 64
4 Warta Sieradz 34 16 7 11 46:42 55
5 Suwalki 34 13 9 12 46:38 48
6 Jagiellonia II 34 13 8 13 54:49 47
7 Swit Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 47:58 47
8 GKS Belchatow 34 12 10 12 52:52 46
9 Bron Radom 34 12 10 12 40:48 46
10 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 7 14 57:64 46
11 MKS Mlawa 34 12 8 14 67:62 44
12 Plock II 34 11 10 13 54:58 43
13 GKS Wikielec 34 10 12 12 39:45 42
14 Stomil Olsztyn 34 11 9 14 44:56 42
15 Victoria Sulejowek 34 11 8 15 52:59 41
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 34 9 14 11 46:60 41
17 Pelikan 34 9 6 19 34:58 33
18 Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz 34 2 6 26 26:72 12
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)