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Victoria vs Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Victoria play Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol in the Liga 1 2023/2024. Victoria are favorites here. Recently, Victoria averaged 2 goals scored and 2.49 conceded. Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol averaged 0.83 goals scored and 3.2 conceded. In past meetings, Victoria won 3, Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 9, 2023 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Victoria and 1.00 for Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol. This points to a Victoria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Victoria
25%
Draws
15%
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Victoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Victoria picked up more points recently compared to Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 51%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Victoria Clean Sheet 23%
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 84%
Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 2 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.49 3.2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 9, 2023 Liga 1
Victoria vs Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol
3:0
Oct 28, 2023 Liga 1
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol vs Victoria
0:3
Sep 15, 2023 Liga 1
Victoria vs Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol
4:1
May 24, 2023 Super Liga
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol vs Victoria
5:1
Apr 29, 2023 Super Liga
Victoria vs Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria 59 / 100
Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Victoria & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.9%
1.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Victoria attacking → ← attacking Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria scored in 82% of their last 39 games.

Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Victoria went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 17
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Victoria15111346:1734
2Sheriff Tiraspol 215102338:1032
3Speranta Drochia1563614:1521
4Iskra Ribnita1563624:3221
5FCM Ungheni1562738:3020
6Dinamo-Auto Tiraspol1501146:621
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Saksan15105044:1435
2Univer Comrat15103233:1833
3Speranis1554626:2819
4Falesti1552824:3217
5Olimp Comrat1545619:2417
6Real Succes15111314:444