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Victoria Wanderers vs Kirkop

Malta Malta

FA Trophy 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Kirkop advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Victoria Wanderers
15%
Draws
28%
Kirkop
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria Wanderers come out ahead of Kirkop on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Victoria Wanderers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Kirkop, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 51.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Victoria Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%
Kirkop Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wanderers Kirkop
Matches Played 30 16
Wins 15 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2014 FA Trophy
Victoria Wanderers vs Kirkop
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wanderers 29 / 100
Kirkop 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wanderers Kirkop

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kirkop conceded in 81% of 16 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Victoria Wanderers scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Kirkop lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wanderers VS Kirkop
2.13 Goals Scored 1.6
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wanderers

(Home)
26 Apr
Birzebbuga
2 : 1
Victoria Wanderers
18 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
4 : 2
Xaghra
01 Mar
Victoria Wanderers
2 : 1
Ghajnsielem
03 Jan
Birkirkara
3 : 1
Victoria Wanderers
12 Jan
Valletta
4 : 0
Victoria Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Kirkop

(Away)
12 Dec
Kirkop
1 : 2
Lija
07 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 3
Kercem Ajax
26 Oct
Kirkop
1 : 2
Vittoriosa
08 Sept
Kirkop
2 : 1
Kercem Ajax
20 Sept
Ghajnsielem
3 : 2
Kirkop
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vittoriosa -
TBD -
TBD -
Hamrun -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Dingli Swallows -
Xghajra -
TBD -
TBD -
Siggiewi -
Victoria Hotspurs 2
Xbiex 1
TBD -
Mellieha -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Rabat Ajax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Senglea -
Swieqi -
TBD -
Mgarr 1
Kalkara 4
Ghaxaq -
TBD -
TBD -
Gzira -
Melita -
TBD -
TBD -
Zejtun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Birzebbuga -
TBD -
Attard 0
Kercem Ajax 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Qormi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Venera 2
Marsaskala FC 0
Marsaxlokk 0
Qrendi 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem 0
Mtarfa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tarxien -
Lija -
TBD -
Luqa 3
Oratory 4
San Gwann -
TBD -
TBD -
Sirens -
Balzan FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 3
Munxar 0
Xewkija 0
Kirkop 1
Msida -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsa -
Santa Lucia 3
Qala Saints 2
TBD -
Zabbar -
Nadur 5
Xaghra 0
TBD -
Fgura -
St. Lawrence 2
Mdina 0
TBD -
Gharghur -
St. George's FC -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Andrews -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/32-finals
Birkirkara -
TBD -
Vittoriosa 2
Hamrun 3
Zurrieq 2
Dingli Swallows 1
Xghajra 1
Siggiewi 2
Victoria Hotspurs 5
Mellieha 1
TBD -
Zebbug -
Pembroke 2
Rabat Ajax 1
TBD -
Pieta -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
Mqabba FC 2
Senglea 3
Swieqi 7
Kalkara 0
Ghaxaq 0
Gzira 8
Melita 1
Zejtun 0
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
Birzebbuga 3
Kercem Ajax 2
TBD -
Valletta -
Qormi -
TBD -
St. Venera 1
Qrendi 2
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Floriana -
Gudja 4
Mtarfa 0
TBD -
Tarxien -
Lija 7
Oratory 0
San Gwann 1
Sirens 2
Balzan FC -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers 0
Kirkop 2
Msida 4
Marsa 1
Santa Lucia 1
Zabbar 2
Nadur 2
Fgura 1
St. Lawrence 1
Gharghur 2
St. George's FC 3
St. Andrews 2
TBD -
Hibernians -
1/16-finals
Birkirkara 7
Hamrun 1
Zurrieq 2
Siggiewi 5
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Zebbug 0
Pembroke 0
Pieta 1
Mosta FC 6
Senglea 1
Swieqi 0
Gzira 6
Melita 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Birzebbuga 1
Valletta 7
Qormi 3
Qrendi 0
Sliema 0
Floriana 1
Gudja 3
Tarxien 0
Lija 0
Sirens 1
Balzan FC 2
Kirkop 0
Msida 1
Zabbar 2
Nadur 4
Gharghur 1
St. George's FC 0
Hibernians 2
1/8-finals
Birkirkara 3
Siggiewi 0
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Pieta 1
Mosta FC 4
Gzira 1
Melita 0
Valletta 2
Qormi 3
Floriana 1
Gudja 0
Sirens 6
Balzan FC 6
Zabbar 0
Nadur 1
Hibernians 3
Quarter-finals
Birkirkara 3
Pieta 0
Mosta FC 1
Valletta 3
Qormi 7
Sirens 0
Balzan FC 1
Hibernians 2
Semi-finals
Birkirkara 1
Valletta 0
Qormi 0
Hibernians 2
Final
Birkirkara 2
Hibernians 0