Sport Picks

Malta

FA Trophy 2016/2017

Victoria Wanderers

5 - 0

Mgarr

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 5-0, with Victoria Wanderers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Victoria Wanderers

15%

Draws

34%

Mgarr

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Victoria Wanderers carry the better recent record into this one.
Victoria Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 40%.
Victoria Wanderers have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Victoria Wanderers, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Victoria Wanderers have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Victoria Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Mgarr Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Victoria Wanderers	Mgarr
Matches Played	30	33
Wins	15	11
Draws	0	7
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1.87	1.61
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.79	1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2024 FA Trophy

Mgarr vs Victoria Wanderers

2:3

Dec 7, 2016 FA Trophy

Victoria Wanderers vs Mgarr

5:0

Oct 21, 2012 FA Trophy

Mgarr vs Victoria Wanderers

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wanderers 38 / 100

Mgarr 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Victoria Wanderers Mgarr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Victoria Wanderers Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Victoria Wanderers found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Mgarr let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Away concern: Mgarr has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wanderers VS Mgarr

2.33 Goals Scored 2.25

1.67 Goals Conceded 1.25

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 63%

33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wanderers

(Home)

26 Apr

Birzebbuga

2 : 1

Victoria Wanderers

18 Mar

Victoria Wanderers

4 : 2

Xaghra

01 Mar

Victoria Wanderers

2 : 1

Ghajnsielem

03 Jan

Birkirkara

3 : 1

Victoria Wanderers

12 Jan

Valletta

4 : 0

Victoria Wanderers

Page 1 of 6

Mgarr

(Away)

19 Sept

Melita

1 : 2

Mgarr

13 Sept

Mgarr

1 : 3

Tarxien

18 Apr

Zurrieq

4 : 2

Mgarr

12 Apr

Mgarr

0 : 2

Gudja

06 Apr

Mgarr

1 : 1

Santa Lucia

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Victoria Wanderers -

TBD -

St. Venera -

TBD -

Melita -

Zabbar -

TBD -

Mgarr -

Birkirkara -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

Marsa -

TBD -

Santa Lucia -

TBD -

Kercem Ajax -

Qormi -

TBD -

Qala Saints -

TBD -

Xewkija -

Sirens -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Pembroke -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Ghaxaq -

TBD -

Gharb 2

Xghajra 1

TBD -

Nadur -

Siggiewi -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Msida -

TBD -

Luqa -

TBD -

Mqabba FC -

Ghajnsielem -

TBD -

Kalkara -

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Mdina -

TBD -

Victoria Hotspurs -

Birzebbuga -

TBD -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Floriana -

Tarxien -

TBD -

Munxar -

TBD -

Xbiex -

TBD -

Gharghur -

Pieta -

TBD -

Marsaskala FC -

TBD -

Kirkop -

St. Lawrence -

TBD -

Zurrieq -

TBD -

Lija -

Valletta -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk -

TBD -

San Gwann -

Zebbug -

TBD -

Fgura -

TBD -

Balzan FC -

Senglea -

TBD -

Mtarfa -

TBD -

Xaghra -

TBD -

Hibernians -

Gzira -

TBD -

Attard -

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

Qrendi -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows -

TBD -

Oratory -

Gudja -

TBD -

Swieqi -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Sliema -

1/64-finals

Victoria Wanderers 3

St. Venera 0

TBD -

Melita -

Zabbar -

TBD -

Mgarr -

Birkirkara -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

Marsa -

TBD -

Santa Lucia 0

Kercem Ajax 3

Qormi -

TBD -

Qala Saints 0

Xewkija 6

Sirens -

TBD -

Rabat Ajax -

TBD -

Pembroke -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Ghaxaq -

TBD -

Gharb 1

Nadur 7

Siggiewi -

TBD -

St. George's FC -

Msida 1

Luqa 0

TBD -

Mqabba FC -

Ghajnsielem 3

Kalkara 2

TBD -

Naxxar Lions -

Zejtun -

TBD -

Mdina 1

Victoria Hotspurs 5

Birzebbuga -

TBD -

Mellieha -

TBD -

Floriana -

Tarxien -

TBD -

Munxar 2

Xbiex 0

TBD -

Gharghur -

Pieta -

TBD -

Marsaskala FC 0

Kirkop 4

St. Lawrence 3

Zurrieq 0

TBD -

Lija -

Valletta -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk -

TBD -

San Gwann -

Zebbug -

TBD -

Fgura -

TBD -

Balzan FC -

Senglea -

TBD -

Mtarfa 0

Xaghra 7

TBD -

Hibernians -

Gzira -

TBD -

Attard -

TBD -

Vittoriosa -

Qrendi -

TBD -

Dingli Swallows 0

Oratory 5

Gudja -

TBD -

Swieqi -

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Sliema -

1/32-finals

Victoria Wanderers 2

Melita 1

Zabbar 1

Mgarr 2

Birkirkara -

TBD -

St. Andrews -

Marsa 4

Kercem Ajax 3

Qormi 1

Xewkija 4

Sirens 2

Rabat Ajax 1

TBD -

Pembroke -

Hamrun -

TBD -

Ghaxaq 0

Nadur 4

Siggiewi 3

St. George's FC 2

Msida 0

Mqabba FC 1

Ghajnsielem 4

Naxxar Lions 1

Zejtun 1

Victoria Hotspurs 2

Birzebbuga 3

Mellieha 2

TBD -

Floriana -

Tarxien -

TBD -

Munxar 0

Gharghur 8

Pieta 1

Kirkop 0

St. Lawrence 0

Lija 5

Valletta -

TBD -

Marsaxlokk 0

San Gwann 4

Zebbug 2

Fgura 0

TBD -

Balzan FC -

Senglea 7

Xaghra 1

TBD -

Hibernians -

Gzira -

TBD -

Attard 1

Vittoriosa 5

Qrendi 2

Oratory 1

Gudja 0

Swieqi 3

Mosta FC -

TBD -

Sliema -

1/16-finals

Victoria Wanderers 5

Mgarr 0

Birkirkara 0

St. Andrews 3

Marsa 3

Xewkija 2

Sirens 1

Pembroke 2

Hamrun 2

Nadur 0

Siggiewi 0

Mqabba FC 2

Ghajnsielem 3

Victoria Hotspurs 2

Birzebbuga 0

Floriana 5

Tarxien 6

Gharghur 0

Pieta 0

Lija 2

Valletta 1

San Gwann 0

Zebbug 1

Balzan FC 3

Senglea 3

Hibernians 2

Gzira 2

Vittoriosa 3

Qrendi 1

Swieqi 0

Mosta FC 2

Sliema 3

1/8-finals

Victoria Wanderers 1

St. Andrews 0

Marsa 1

Pembroke 2

Hamrun 1

Mqabba FC 0

Ghajnsielem 1

Floriana 4

Tarxien 3

Lija 0

Valletta 0

Balzan FC 1

Senglea 2

Vittoriosa 1

Qrendi 0

Sliema 5

Quarter-finals

Victoria Wanderers 2

Pembroke 0

Hamrun 0

Floriana 2

Tarxien 2

Balzan FC 1

Senglea 0

Sliema 1

Semi-finals

Victoria Wanderers 1

Floriana 3

Tarxien 0

Sliema 3

Final

Floriana 2

Sliema 0

Victoria Wanderers vs Mgarr

Malta

Victoria Wanderers

Mgarr

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wanderers

Mgarr

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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