Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Victoria Wrzesnia vs Luzino

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Zietarski R.
37' Event
Gielda J.
66' Event
Karlikowski M.

AI Match Summary

Luzino in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Victoria Wrzesnia
35%
Draws
49%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luzino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Luzino have won more games recently than Victoria Wrzesnia.
  • Model gives Luzino a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Luzino have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%
Luzino Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoria Wrzesnia Luzino
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 20
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.45 2.36
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Luzino
1:3
May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Luzino
0:1
Nov 11, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Victoria Wrzesnia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gielda J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Zietarski R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karlikowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 10 / 100
Luzino 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoria Wrzesnia Luzino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Victoria Wrzesnia scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Luzino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Victoria Wrzesnia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Victoria Wrzesnia VS Luzino
1 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Home)
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1
Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2
Chemik Bydgoszcz
05 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
3 : 3
KKS Kalisz
29 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
2 : 0
Victoria Wrzesnia
Page 1 of 6

Luzino

(Away)
26 Sept
Luzino
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
19 Sept
Unia Swarzedz
1 : 3
Luzino
11 Sept
Luzino
5 : 1
Grom Nowy Staw
05 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 4
Luzino
02 Sept
Luzino
2 : 3
Wisla Plock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzino 10 8 1 1 30:10 25
2 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 10 7 3 0 29:16 24
3 Kluczevia Stargard 10 6 1 3 19:16 19
4 Wda Swiecie 9 5 3 1 15:10 18
5 KKS Kalisz 10 4 5 1 16:10 17
6 Blekitni Stargard 10 4 3 3 22:19 15
7 Lech Poznan II 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
8 Swinoujscie 10 4 2 4 15:17 14
9 Grom Nowy Staw 10 4 1 5 27:25 13
10 Notec Czarnkow 10 4 1 5 15:15 13
11 Baltyk Koszalin 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
12 Gedania Gdansk 10 2 4 4 23:24 10
13 Unia Swarzedz 10 3 1 6 13:19 10
14 Kotwica Kornik 10 3 1 6 18:25 10
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 10 1 6 3 16:21 9
16 Elana Torun 10 1 4 5 13:21 7
17 Victoria Wrzesnia 10 1 4 5 11:23 7
18 Lipno Steszew 10 1 2 7 11:22 5
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)