Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026

Notec Czarnkow

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Victoria Wrzesnia play Notec Czarnkow in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Victoria Wrzesnia averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Notec Czarnkow averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Victoria Wrzesnia won 1, Notec Czarnkow won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Victoria Wrzesnia and 1.19 for Notec Czarnkow. This points to a Victoria Wrzesnia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Victoria Wrzesnia

15%

Draws

40%

Notec Czarnkow

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Victoria Wrzesnia picked up more points recently compared to Notec Czarnkow.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 20%

Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Victoria Wrzesnia	Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	13	13
Draws	4	5
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.33	1.55
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group II

Victoria Wrzesnia vs Notec Czarnkow

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Sep 12, 2025 III Liga - Group II

Notec Czarnkow vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Possession: 56% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoria Wrzesnia 45 / 100

Notec Czarnkow 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Victoria Wrzesnia Notec Czarnkow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Victoria Wrzesnia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Victoria Wrzesnia attacking → ← attacking Notec Czarnkow

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victoria Wrzesnia scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Notec Czarnkow let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Victoria Wrzesnia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Notec Czarnkow lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 44

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zawisza	34	25	5	4	73:23	80
2	Luzino	34	24	4	6	79:39	76
3	Polonia Sroda Wielkopol	34	20	6	8	67:43	66
4	Lipno Steszew	34	15	6	13	47:54	51
5	Notec Czarnkow	34	14	7	13	49:46	49
6	Lech Poznan II	34	14	7	13	67:54	49
7	Elana Torun	34	14	7	13	49:55	49
8	Swinoujscie	34	14	7	13	48:52	49
9	Wda Swiecie	34	14	6	14	44:66	48
10	Unia Swarzedz	34	13	8	13	47:41	47
11	Kluczevia Stargard	34	13	7	14	54:43	46
12	Blekitni Stargard	34	12	9	13	56:51	45
13	Victoria Wrzesnia	34	13	3	18	41:46	42
14	Pogon Szczecin II	34	12	5	17	75:66	41
15	Nowe Skalmierzyce	34	10	9	15	35:46	39
16	Cartusia Kartuzy	34	11	5	18	38:51	38
17	Tluchowo	34	8	7	19	37:66	31
18	Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal	34	3	6	25	20:84	15