Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Victoriano Arenas vs Puerto Nuevo

Argentina Argentina

Primera C Estadio Saturnino Moure, Avellaneda
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Lopez J. P.

AI Match Summary

Puerto Nuevo in this Primera C matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Puerto Nuevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Victoriano Arenas
44%
Draws
20%
Puerto Nuevo
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Puerto Nuevo lately — more wins on the board than Victoriano Arenas.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Victoriano Arenas Clean Sheet 26%
Puerto Nuevo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victoriano Arenas Puerto Nuevo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Primera C
Puerto Nuevo vs Victoriano Arenas
2:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera C
Victoriano Arenas vs Puerto Nuevo
0:1
Jul 6, 2024 Primera C
Victoriano Arenas vs Puerto Nuevo
1:0
Feb 4, 2024 Primera C
Puerto Nuevo vs Victoriano Arenas
1:0
Jul 14, 2023 Primera C
Victoriano Arenas vs Puerto Nuevo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Victoriano Arenas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Puerto Nuevo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victoriano Arenas 38 / 100
Puerto Nuevo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victoriano Arenas Puerto Nuevo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Puerto Nuevo let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Victoriano Arenas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Victoriano Arenas's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Victoriano Arenas VS Puerto Nuevo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Victoriano Arenas

(Home)
17 Jul
Deportivo Espanol
1 : 0
Victoriano Arenas
12 Jul
Mercedes
1 : 1
Victoriano Arenas
05 Jul
Victoriano Arenas
0 : 0
Deportivo Paraguayo
28 Jun
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 1
Victoriano Arenas
13 Jun
Leandro N. Alem
0 : 0
Victoriano Arenas
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Puerto Nuevo

(Away)
17 Jul
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 1
Fenix
12 Jul
Puerto Nuevo
1 : 0
Estrella Del Sur
05 Jul
Berazategui
0 : 2
Puerto Nuevo
28 Jun
Puerto Nuevo
2 : 1
Victoriano Arenas
14 Jun
Puerto Nuevo
0 : 2
CSR Espanol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sacachispas19104524:1434
2Berazategui1988323:1432
3CSR Espanol1986526:1730
4Mercedes2078521:1129
5CA Lugano2078524:1929
6Puerto Nuevo2078518:1929
7Estrella Del Sur1977521:1728
8Victoriano Arenas2069517:1327
9Leandro N. Alem2075824:3326
10Juventud Unida San Miguel1957718:1922
11Defensores de Cambaceres2057815:2122
12Justo Jose de Urquiza2031079:1819
13Argentino de Rosario20211719:2617
14Deportivo Paraguayo1937910:2516
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canuelas2099223:1236
2Club Lujan1996422:1433
3Leones de Rosario1978419:1729
4Yupanqui2077624:2128
5Deportivo Espanol20610417:1428
6General Lamadrid2077618:2028
7Sportivo Barracas2074922:2125
8El Porvenir20413315:1525
9Atlas1967616:1725
10CSD Central Ballester1964918:2122
11Claypole1956815:2321
12Central Cordoba (Rosario)1948712:1520
13Fenix20551013:2120
14Deportivo Muniz2039814:2018
Promotion - Primera C (Super final)
Promotion - Primera C (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Promotion)