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Victory Boys vs Jong Colombia

Curaçao Curaçao

Promé Divishon
Sat, Mar 16, 2024
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Victory Boys play Jong Colombia in the Promé Divishon. It looks like a close match. Recently, Victory Boys averaged 1.15 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Jong Colombia averaged 2.04 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, Victory Boys won 0, Jong Colombia won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on Mar 16, 2024 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Victory Boys and 1.81 for Jong Colombia. This points to a Jong Colombia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Victory Boys
35%
Draws
40%
Jong Colombia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Jong Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Victory Boys picked up more points recently compared to Jong Colombia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Victory Boys Clean Sheet 11%
Jong Colombia Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Victory Boys Jong Colombia
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 7 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.15 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Promé Divishon
Victory Boys vs Jong Colombia
0:0
Dec 2, 2023 Promé Divishon
Jong Colombia vs Victory Boys
1:1
Jul 5, 2022 Promé Divishon
Victory Boys vs Jong Colombia
1:2
Apr 3, 2022 Promé Divishon
Jong Colombia vs Victory Boys
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Victory Boys 25 / 100
Jong Colombia 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Victory Boys Jong Colombia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jong Colombia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Victory Boys attacking → ← attacking Jong Colombia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Victory Boys scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Jong Colombia let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Victory Boys went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jong Colombia lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 50
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Jong Colombia1492338:1629
2Scherpenheuvel1577122:1228
3Centro Dominguito1576225:1727
4Willemstad1482424:1426
5Jong Holland1472533:1623
6Victory Boys1446418:1618
7SUBT1451820:2916
8UNDEBA1443723:3915
9Salina14221017:378
10CSD Barber14211115:397