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Vidar vs Stord

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Haughom S.
17' Event
Haughom S.
22' Event
Haestad M. T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2025 game between Vidar and Stord finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vidar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vidar
28%
Draws
50%
Stord
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Stord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stord come out ahead of Vidar on wins alone.
  • Stord are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Vidar Clean Sheet 10%
Stord Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vidar Stord
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Vidar vs Stord
6:2
Apr 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 5
Stord vs Vidar
1:4
Oct 7, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Stord vs Vidar
4:2
Apr 10, 2023 Division 3 - Group 3
Vidar vs Stord
4:2
Sep 17, 2022 Division 3 - Group 3
Vidar vs Stord
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vidar Compare

Top Goalscorer Haughom S.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Haestad M. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Stord Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekeland R. B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vidar 22 / 100
Stord 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vidar Stord

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stord's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Vidar scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vidar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vidar VS Stord
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vidar

(Home)
27 Jun
Vidar
2 : 4
Kvik Halden
20 Jun
Bjarg
3 : 1
Vidar
13 Jun
Vidar
1 : 1
Pors
30 May
Vidar
1 : 1
Traeff
23 May
Eik-Tonsberg
3 : 1
Vidar
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Stord

(Away)
27 Jun
Sogndal 2
0 : 2
Stord
20 Jun
Stord
1 : 1
Varegg
15 Jun
Asane 2
1 : 2
Stord
30 May
Stord
2 : 2
Fyllingsdalen
22 May
V. Haugesund
4 : 1
Stord
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