Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vietnam U20 vs Qatar U20

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 Istiqlol Stadium, Fergana
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Al Sharshani J.
26'
Nguyen Duc Phu
41'
Sub
Ho V. C. In: Nguyen Hong Phuc
Out: Ho V. C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Vietnam U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vietnam U20
20%
Draws
50%
Qatar U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Qatar U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vietnam U20 come out ahead of Qatar U20 on wins alone.
  • Vietnam U20 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Vietnam U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vietnam U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Qatar U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U20 Qatar U20
Matches Played 19 24
Wins 8 5
Draws 1 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U20
Vietnam U20 vs Qatar U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Quoc Viet
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Van Truong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.31
Avg xA / game 0.2

Qatar U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U20 51 / 100
Qatar U20 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U20 Qatar U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam U20's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Qatar U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 24 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vietnam U20 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam U20 VS Qatar U20
0.67 Goals Scored 0.38
2.67 Goals Conceded 0.13
100% Over 1.5 13%
100% Over 2.5 13%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Iran U20
3 : 1
Vietnam U20
03 Sept
Palestine U20
2 : 1
Vietnam U20
31 Aug
Vietnam U20
0 : 3
North Korea U20
29 Sept
Vietnam U20
0 : 1
Syria U20
27 Sept
Bangladesh U20
1 : 4
Vietnam U20
Page 1 of 4

Qatar U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Saudi Arabia U20
1 : 0
Qatar U20
03 Sept
Hong Kong U20
0 : 3
Qatar U20
31 Aug
Qatar U20
1 : 2
Oman U20
24 Aug
Qatar U20
0 : 0
Bahrain U20
21 Aug
Qatar U20
2 : 2
Palestine U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U20 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Iraq U20 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
3 Indonesia U20 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Syria U20 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Australia U20 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
3 Vietnam U20 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
4 Qatar U20 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 3 2 1 0 6:0 7
2 Jordan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Tajikistan U20 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Oman U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 China U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Saudi Arabia U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Play Offs)