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Vietnam U22 vs Philippines U22 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Le Van Thuan
90' Event
Nguyen Thanh Nhan

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Vietnam U22
15%
Draws
28%
Philippines U22
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vietnam U22

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vietnam U22 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vietnam U22's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Vietnam U22 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vietnam U22, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Vietnam U22 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Vietnam U22 Clean Sheet 68%
Philippines U22 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U22 Philippines U22
Matches Played 29 20
Wins 16 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.79 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2025 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U22 vs Philippines U22
2:0
Feb 17, 2019 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U22 vs Philippines U22
2:1
Jun 28, 2012 AFC Asian Cup U23
Philippines U22 vs Vietnam U22
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U22 Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Van Thuan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Thanh Nhan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Philippines U22 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U22 95 / 100
Philippines U22 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U22 Philippines U22

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vietnam U22 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Philippines U22 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 20 outings.

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Vietnam U22 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Vietnam U22 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam U22 VS Philippines U22
1.63 Goals Scored 0.67
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam U22

(Home)
18 Dec
Thailand U22
2 : 3
Vietnam U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
11 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Malaysia U22
03 Dec
Laos U22
1 : 2
Vietnam U22
18 Nov
Vietnam U22
0 : 1
South Korea U22
Page 1 of 6

Philippines U22

(Away)
18 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 2
Malaysia U22
15 Dec
Vietnam U22
2 : 0
Philippines U22
08 Dec
Philippines U22
1 : 0
Indonesia U22
05 Dec
Myanmar U22
0 : 2
Philippines U22
10 May
Philippines U22
0 : 1
Myanmar U22
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vietnam U22 2
Philippines U22 0
Thailand U22 1
Malaysia U22 0
Final
Vietnam U22 3
Thailand U22 2
Philippines U22 1
Malaysia U22 2