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Vietnam U23 vs North Korea U23

World World

Friendly International Xi'an International Football Center (Fengdong Stadium)
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nguyen Minh Tam
69' Event
Kyong-ung A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Vietnam U23 and North Korea U23 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Vietnam U23
22%
Draws
60%
North Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: North Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vietnam U23 come out ahead of North Korea U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans North Korea U23's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors North Korea U23 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 20%
North Korea U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U23 North Korea U23
Matches Played 40 27
Wins 24 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.67
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Friendly International
Vietnam U23 vs North Korea U23
1:1
Jan 16, 2020 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs North Korea U23
1:2
Nov 16, 2010 Asian Games
North Korea U23 vs Vietnam U23
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Minh Tam
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

North Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyong-ung A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.93

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U23 20 / 100
North Korea U23 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U23 North Korea U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PRK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam U23's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

North Korea U23 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Vietnam U23 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam U23 VS North Korea U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%