Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vietnam U23 vs South Korea U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Vietnam U23 Logo

Vietnam U23

Fri, Jan 23, 2026
3 - 2
03:00 PM
South Korea U23 Logo

South Korea U23

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Nguyen Quoc Viet
Assist: Nguyen Dinh Bac
46'
Sub
Kim Dong-Jin In: Kang Seong-Jin
Out: Kim Dong-Jin
46'
Sub
Jo Hyun-Tae In: Lee Hyun-Yong
Out: Jo Hyun-Tae
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Vietnam U23
20%
Draws
61%
South Korea U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: South Korea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • South Korea U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • South Korea U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • South Korea U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor South Korea U23, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 14%
South Korea U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam U23 South Korea U23
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 Asian Games
South Korea U23 vs Vietnam U23
4:0
Jan 23, 2026 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs South Korea U23
3:2
Jun 5, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
Vietnam U23 vs South Korea U23
1:1
Aug 29, 2018 Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs South Korea U23
1:3
Jan 11, 2018 AFC Asian Cup U23
South Korea U23 vs Vietnam U23
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Quoc Viet
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nguyen Dinh Bac
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

South Korea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shin Min-Ha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam U23 10 / 100
South Korea U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam U23 South Korea U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Korea U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Vietnam U23 scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

South Korea U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.

Vietnam U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam U23 VS South Korea U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam U23

(Home)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 6

South Korea U23

(Away)
06 Oct
Australia U23
2 : 2
South Korea U23
03 Oct
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Japan U23
03 Oct
Australia U23
1 : 2
South Korea U23
30 Sept
South Korea U23
2 : 1
China U23
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Vietnam U23 3
United Arab Emirates U23 2
Uzbekistan U23 0
China U23 1
Japan U23 2
Jordan U23 1
Australia U23 1
South Korea U23 2
Semi-finals
Vietnam U23 0
China U23 3
Japan U23 1
South Korea U23 0
Final
China U23 0
Japan U23 4
Vietnam U23 3
South Korea U23 2