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Stadium Background

Vietnam vs Myanmar

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship 2024 My Dinh National Stadium, Hanoi
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Kyaw S. M.
40'
Win Hein Phyo
46'
Sub
Thiha A. In: Soe Thet Hein
Out: Thiha A.

AI Match Summary

The ASEAN Championship 2024 game between Vietnam and Myanmar finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vietnam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Vietnam
15%
Draws
27%
Myanmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vietnam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vietnam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Vietnam taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vietnam have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vietnam Clean Sheet 68%
Myanmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vietnam Myanmar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 27 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 0 15
Goals Scored 2.77 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.5 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Friendly International
Vietnam vs Myanmar
4:0
Dec 21, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Vietnam vs Myanmar
5:0
Jan 3, 2023 ASEAN Championship
Vietnam vs Myanmar
3:0
Nov 20, 2018 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Vietnam
0:0
Nov 20, 2016 ASEAN Championship
Myanmar vs Vietnam
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vietnam Compare

Top Goalscorer Bezerra R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bui Vi Hao
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Myanmar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vietnam 95 / 100
Myanmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vietnam Myanmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vietnam Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vietnam scored in 97% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Myanmar conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Vietnam has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Vietnam VS Myanmar
3.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Vietnam

(Home)
26 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 2
Thailand
22 Aug
Thailand
0 : 2
Vietnam
19 Aug
Vietnam
2 : 0
Malaysia
16 Aug
Malaysia
0 : 2
Vietnam
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
Page 1 of 6

Myanmar

(Away)
08 Aug
Thailand
2 : 0
Myanmar
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
28 Jul
Philippines
1 : 4
Myanmar
25 Jul
Myanmar
1 : 2
Malaysia
18 Jul
Vietnam
4 : 0
Myanmar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 18:4 12
2 Singapore 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
3 Malaysia 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
4 Cambodia 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 3:18 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 11:2 10
2 Philippines 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
3 Indonesia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Myanmar 4 1 1 2 4:9 4
5 Laos 4 0 2 2 7:11 2
Promotion - ASEAN Championship 2024 (Play Offs)