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VIFK Vaasa W vs Gnistan W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Karkkainen S.
45' Event
Kraemer A.
Assist: Rita J.
46'
Sub
Gurung D. In: Kemppainen S.
Out: Gurung D.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between VIFK Vaasa W and Gnistan W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gnistan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
VIFK Vaasa W
15%
Draws
0%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VIFK Vaasa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Gnistan W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans VIFK Vaasa W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
VIFK Vaasa W Clean Sheet 10%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VIFK Vaasa W Gnistan W
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 4 6
Draws 2 1
Losses 24 18
Goals Scored 0.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Gnistan W
0:1
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs VIFK Vaasa W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VIFK Vaasa W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kraemer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VIFK Vaasa W 83 / 100
Gnistan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VIFK Vaasa W Gnistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIFK Vaasa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gnistan W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 25 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Gnistan W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

VIFK Vaasa W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VIFK Vaasa W VS Gnistan W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

VIFK Vaasa W

(Home)
03 Oct
VIFK Vaasa W
2 : 1
EBK W
26 Sept
Honka W
2 : 3
VIFK Vaasa W
20 Sept
VIFK Vaasa W
3 : 4
HJS W
12 Sept
PK-35 Vantaa W
5 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
29 Aug
VIFK Vaasa W
3 : 1
JyPK W
Page 1 of 6

Gnistan W

(Away)
03 Oct
Aland United W
3 : 1
Gnistan W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)