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VIFK Vaasa W vs Gnistan W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Lemonsoft Stadion
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Karkkainen S.
45' Event
Kraemer A.
Assist: Rita J.
46'
Sub
Gurung D. In: Kemppainen S.
Out: Gurung D.

AI Match Summary

The Kansallinen Liiga Women game between VIFK Vaasa W and Gnistan W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gnistan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
VIFK Vaasa W
11%
Draws
80%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Gnistan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Gnistan W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gnistan W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
VIFK Vaasa W Clean Sheet 10%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VIFK Vaasa W Gnistan W
Matches Played 29 15
Wins 0 5
Draws 2 0
Losses 27 10
Goals Scored 0.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 3.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Gnistan W
0:1
May 2, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs VIFK Vaasa W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VIFK Vaasa W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kraemer A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VIFK Vaasa W 10 / 100
Gnistan W 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VIFK Vaasa W Gnistan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Gnistan W let in goals in 73% of their last 15 matches.

Gnistan W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

VIFK Vaasa W scored in 34% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

VIFK Vaasa W VS Gnistan W
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W12110134:933
2KuPS W1281329:1825
3HPS W1273218:924
4Aland United W1271432:1722
5Ilves W1260623:2318
6Gnistan W1240819:2912
7PK-35 Vantaa W12201012:336
8VIFK Vaasa W1201116:351