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VIFK Vaasa W vs Ilves W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Own Goal
41'
Koskela V.
62'
Sub
Lahteenmaki L. In: Heinonen I.
Out: Lahteenmaki L.

AI Match Summary

Ilves W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilves W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
VIFK Vaasa W
15%
Draws
26%
Ilves W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VIFK Vaasa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilves W have won more games recently than VIFK Vaasa W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Kansallinen Liiga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ilves W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
VIFK Vaasa W Clean Sheet 10%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VIFK Vaasa W Ilves W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 24 15
Goals Scored 0.8 1.97
Goals Conceded 3.07 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Ilves W
0:3
Apr 3, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs VIFK Vaasa W
3:0
Jul 2, 2025 Suomen Cup Women
Ilves W vs VIFK Vaasa W
2:0
Aug 8, 2015 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs VIFK Vaasa W
8:1
May 24, 2015 Kansallinen Liiga Women
VIFK Vaasa W vs Ilves W
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VIFK Vaasa W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahonen H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VIFK Vaasa W 29 / 100
Ilves W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VIFK Vaasa W Ilves W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIFK Vaasa W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Ilves W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: VIFK Vaasa W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Ilves W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

VIFK Vaasa W VS Ilves W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

VIFK Vaasa W

(Home)
03 Oct
VIFK Vaasa W
2 : 1
EBK W
26 Sept
Honka W
2 : 3
VIFK Vaasa W
20 Sept
VIFK Vaasa W
3 : 4
HJS W
12 Sept
PK-35 Vantaa W
5 : 1
VIFK Vaasa W
29 Aug
VIFK Vaasa W
3 : 1
JyPK W
Page 1 of 6

Ilves W

(Away)
03 Oct
Ilves W
3 : 3
KuPS W
26 Sept
Gnistan W
0 : 3
Ilves W
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 14 13 0 1 40:9 39
2 Aland United W 14 9 1 4 41:19 28
3 KuPS W 14 9 1 4 31:21 28
4 HPS W 14 7 3 4 19:15 24
5 Ilves W 14 7 1 6 27:26 22
6 Gnistan W 14 4 1 9 21:32 13
7 PK-35 Vantaa W 14 2 1 11 13:36 7
8 VIFK Vaasa W 14 0 2 12 8:42 2
Promotion - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Kansallinen Liiga Women (Relegation Group)