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Vigasio vs Conegliano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Fagan F.
58' Event
Colombi M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 game between Vigasio and Conegliano finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Conegliano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Vigasio
20%
Draws
58%
Conegliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Conegliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Vigasio haven't matched Conegliano's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 18%
Conegliano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigasio Conegliano
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 11 10
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.33 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Conegliano
0:2
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Conegliano vs Vigasio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigasio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Conegliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagan F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colombi M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigasio 36 / 100
Conegliano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigasio Conegliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conegliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigasio scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Conegliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Vigasio stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vigasio VS Conegliano
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigasio

(Home)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
Page 1 of 6

Conegliano

(Away)
03 May
Conegliano
0 : 1
Altavilla
26 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Conegliano
19 Apr
Conegliano
1 : 1
Luparense FC
12 Apr
Treviso
1 : 2
Conegliano
02 Apr
Conegliano
3 : 2
Clodiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Treviso 34 21 6 7 50:25 69
2 Legnago Salus 34 18 7 9 63:41 61
3 Clodiense 34 17 9 8 47:29 60
4 Este 34 14 13 7 40:29 55
5 Mestre 34 14 13 7 37:29 55
6 Cjarlins Muzane 34 13 12 9 41:39 51
7 Brian Lignano 34 16 8 10 58:34 50
8 Conegliano 34 13 11 10 36:28 50
9 Bassano Virtus 34 12 14 8 37:27 50
10 Campodarsego 34 13 9 12 37:34 48
11 Altavilla 34 10 16 8 28:24 46
12 Calvi Noale 34 13 5 16 38:40 44
13 Luparense FC 34 10 13 11 36:39 43
14 Vigasio 34 8 14 12 44:46 38
15 San Luigi 34 8 10 16 33:54 34
16 FC Obermais 34 8 10 16 33:46 34
17 Adriese 34 5 6 23 24:62 18
18 Portogruaro 34 1 8 25 25:81 11
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2025/2026 (Additional match)