Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group C

Vigasio

5 - 0

Luparense FC

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Ferchichi H.

35'

Casarotti E.

60'

Sanseverino P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vigasio in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vigasio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Vigasio

30%

Draws

34%

Luparense FC

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vigasio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Luparense FC lately — more wins on the board than Vigasio.
Win probability leans Vigasio's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Vigasio Clean Sheet 17%

Luparense FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vigasio	Luparense FC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	9
Draws	11	11
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC vs Vigasio

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C

Vigasio vs Luparense FC

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

5:0

Feb 9, 2020 Serie D - Group C

Vigasio vs Luparense FC

Possession: 46% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Oct 6, 2019 Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC vs Vigasio

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vigasio Compare

Top Goalscorer Casarotti E.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ferchichi H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Luparense FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigasio 36 / 100

Luparense FC 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vigasio Luparense FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigasio scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Luparense FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vigasio has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vigasio VS Luparense FC

1.5 Goals Scored 1.5

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Treviso	34	21	6	7	50:25	69
2	Legnago Salus	34	18	7	9	63:41	61
3	Clodiense	34	17	9	8	47:29	60
4	Este	34	14	13	7	40:29	55
5	Mestre	34	14	13	7	37:29	55
6	Cjarlins Muzane	34	13	12	9	41:39	51
7	Brian Lignano	34	16	8	10	58:34	50
8	Conegliano	34	13	11	10	36:28	50
9	Bassano Virtus	34	12	14	8	37:27	50
10	Campodarsego	34	13	9	12	37:34	48
11	Altavilla	34	10	16	8	28:24	46
12	Calvi Noale	34	13	5	16	38:40	44
13	Luparense FC	34	10	13	11	36:39	43
14	Vigasio	34	8	14	12	44:46	38
15	San Luigi	34	8	10	16	33:54	34
16	FC Obermais	34	8	10	16	33:46	34
17	Adriese	34	5	6	23	24:62	18
18	Portogruaro	34	1	8	25	25:81	11