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Vigor Carpaneto vs Colligiana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vigor Carpaneto in this Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vigor Carpaneto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Vigor Carpaneto
30%
Draws
6%
Colligiana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vigor Carpaneto lately — more wins on the board than Colligiana.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Vigor Carpaneto taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 18%
Colligiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Carpaneto Colligiana
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.48 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 7, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs Colligiana
3:1
Sep 3, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Colligiana vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor Carpaneto 85 / 100
Colligiana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Carpaneto Colligiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Carpaneto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vigor Carpaneto found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (21 games).

Defensive concern: Colligiana conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Vigor Carpaneto has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vigor Carpaneto VS Colligiana
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor Carpaneto

(Home)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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Colligiana

(Away)
27 Aug
Grosseto
4 : 0
Colligiana
06 May
Colligiana
2 : 3
Villabiagio
29 Apr
Sangiovannese
1 : 0
Colligiana
22 Apr
Colligiana
0 : 2
Forli FC
15 Apr
Castelvetro
1 : 1
Colligiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)