Sport Picks
Vigor Senigallia vs Aquila Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 
Match Events
59'
59'
Pandolfi R.
73'
73'
De Feo G.
82'
82'
Shkambaj A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aquila Calcio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Vigor Senigallia average 1.69 goals a game right now, well clear of Aquila Calcio's 1.52.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Aquila Calcio taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 13%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Aquila Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Aquila Calcio
2:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Aquila Calcio
1:1
Feb 4, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Vigor Senigallia
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vigor Senigallia Compare
Top Goalscorer De Feo G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shkambaj A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Aquila Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Pandolfi R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sparacello C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vigor Senigallia 19 / 100
Aquila Calcio 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vigor Senigallia Aquila Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aquila Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vigor Senigallia scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Vigor Senigallia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Aquila Calcio let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Vigor Senigallia VS Aquila Calcio
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Vigor Senigallia
(Home) 04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
12 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 2 Atletico Ascoli
29 Mar
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 1 Ancona
Page 1 of 3
Aquila Calcio
(Away) 07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2 Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3 Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
16 Sept
Aquila Calcio
0 : 0 Atletico Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3 Aquila Calcio
20 Sept
Ancona
2 : 2 Aquila Calcio
12 Sept
Fossombrone
0 : 4 Aquila Calcio
01 Aug
Pineto
0 : 1 Aquila Calcio
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
