Sport Picks
Vigor Senigallia vs Calcio Chieti
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 
Match Events
15'
15'
Margiotta F.
17'
17'
Ela N.
49'
49'
Alonzi F.
AI Match Summary
Calcio Chieti in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Calcio Chieti.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Vigor Senigallia lately — more wins on the board than Calcio Chieti.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vigor Senigallia Clean Sheet 18%
Calcio Chieti Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vigor Senigallia | Calcio Chieti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Calcio Chieti
2:3
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Vigor Senigallia
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Calcio Chieti vs Vigor Senigallia
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Calcio Chieti
2:3
Jan 28, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Vigor Senigallia vs Calcio Chieti
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vigor Senigallia Compare
Top Goalscorer Alonzi F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Calcio Chieti Compare
Top Goalscorer Margiotta F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ela N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vigor Senigallia 31 / 100
Calcio Chieti 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vigor Senigallia Calcio Chieti
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vigor Senigallia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Vigor Senigallia scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Calcio Chieti has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Vigor Senigallia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Vigor Senigallia VS Calcio Chieti
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Vigor Senigallia
(Home) 04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0 Giulianova
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
12 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 2 Atletico Ascoli
29 Mar
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 1 Ancona
Page 1 of 3
Calcio Chieti
(Away) 03 May
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Maceratese
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
19 Apr
Calcio Chieti
1 : 0 Giulianova
12 Apr
Calcio Chieti
0 : 0 Unipomezia
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Vigor Senigallia
2 : 3 Calcio Chieti
02 Apr
Ostiamare
3 : 0 Calcio Chieti
22 Mar
Castelfidardo
1 : 0 Calcio Chieti
01 Mar
Atletico Ascoli
3 : 1 Calcio Chieti
15 Feb
Ancona
4 : 1 Calcio Chieti
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
