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Vigor vs Madla IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2016 game between Vigor and Madla IL finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madla IL.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Vigor
15%
Draws
85%
Madla IL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Madla IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Madla IL carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Madla IL's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Madla IL here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Vigor Clean Sheet 12%
Madla IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vigor Madla IL
Matches Played 33 40
Wins 6 23
Draws 0 10
Losses 27 7
Goals Scored 1.21 2.52
Goals Conceded 3.67 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Madla IL vs Vigor
1:0
Jun 22, 2024 Division 3 - Group 2
Vigor vs Madla IL
1:6
Sep 17, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Vigor vs Madla IL
1:2
May 28, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Madla IL vs Vigor
3:1
Sep 1, 2012 Division 3 - Group 6
Vigor vs Madla IL
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vigor 10 / 100
Madla IL 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vigor Madla IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Madla IL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Madla IL conceded in 83% of 40 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Vigor found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (33 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Madla IL
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vigor

(Home)
13 Aug
Vigor
0 : 3
Start
27 Oct
Vindbjart
3 : 0
Vigor
20 Oct
Vigor
0 : 5
Vidar
07 Oct
Start 2
5 : 0
Vigor
28 Sept
Vigor
1 : 2
Fram
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Madla IL

(Away)
22 Aug
Madla IL
3 : 2
Vidar
17 Aug
Viking 2
1 : 1
Madla IL
08 Aug
Madla IL
4 : 3
Vindbjart
01 Aug
Vag
2 : 3
Madla IL
25 Jul
Madla IL
5 : 1
Flekkeroy
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