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Vihiga United vs Equity Bank

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Equity Bank in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Equity Bank.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Vihiga United
20%
Draws
57%
Equity Bank
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Equity Bank

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Vihiga United haven't matched Equity Bank's recent run of results.
  • Equity Bank are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Vihiga United Clean Sheet 15%
Equity Bank Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vihiga United Equity Bank
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 0.87 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Vihiga United vs Equity Bank
0:4
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
Equity Bank vs Vihiga United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vihiga United 15 / 100
Equity Bank 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vihiga United Equity Bank

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Equity Bank Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Vihiga United scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Equity Bank has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Vihiga United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vihiga United VS Equity Bank
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vihiga United

(Home)
13 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
1 : 0
Vihiga United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Naivas FC
2 : 0
Vihiga United
27 May
Vihiga United
1 : 0
Gucha Stars
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0
Vihiga United
Page 1 of 6

Equity Bank

(Away)
13 Jun
Equity Bank
2 : 0
Mwatate United
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1
Equity Bank
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
27 May
Fortune Sacco
0 : 4
Equity Bank
23 May
3K FC
0 : 0
Equity Bank
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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