Sport Picks
Vihren vs Chavdar Etropole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
Vihren host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - South-West 2023/2024. This has Vihren written all over it on paper. Chavdar Etropole have shipped 2.76 goals a game lately, while Vihren have conceded 0.9 and scored 1.93. Past meetings favor Vihren slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 11, 2024, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.38 - 1.19) back Vihren to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chavdar Etropole haven't matched Vihren's recent run of results.
- Vihren are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vihren | Chavdar Etropole |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 6 | 25 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 0.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 2.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Chavdar Etropole conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.
Vihren's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Vihren stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Vihren
(Home)Chavdar Etropole
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minyor Pernik | 38 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 78:29 | 97 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 68:39 | 80 |
| 3 | Botev Ihtiman | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 70:52 | 67 |
| 4 | Vihren | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 66:46 | 66 |
| 5 | Slivnishki Geroy | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 52:47 | 58 |
| 6 | Levski Sofia II | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 61:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Rilski Sportist | 38 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 58:61 | 52 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 63:62 | 50 |
| 9 | CSKA 1948 Sofia III | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 57:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Bansko | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 50:54 | 48 |
| 11 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 50:46 | 48 |
| 12 | Bistritsa | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 30:35 | 47 |
| 13 | Kyustendil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 53:54 | 46 |
| 14 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 54:64 | 46 |
| 15 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 58:75 | 46 |
| 16 | Septemvri Simitli | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 48:50 | 45 |
| 17 | Pirin Razlog | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 38:55 | 45 |
| 18 | Kostinbrod | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:63 | 43 |
| 19 | Hebar 2 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 35:63 | 33 |
| 20 | Chavdar Etropole | 38 | 13 | 2 | 23 | 46:74 | 41 |
