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Vihren vs Gorna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Spartak Stadium, Sandanski
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vihren host Gorna in the Vtora liga. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Vihren at 1.75 goals for, 0.93 against; Gorna at 0.94 for, 1.39 against. Past meetings favor Vihren slightly — 4-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 29, 2025, ending 6:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.88) point toward Vihren. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Vihren
20%
Draws
52%
Gorna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gorna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vihren come out ahead of Gorna on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Vihren have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Vihren Clean Sheet 20%
Gorna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vihren Gorna
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.94
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Vtora liga
Vihren vs Gorna
6:0
Jul 26, 2025 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Vihren
1:2
May 14, 2005 Vtora liga
Gorna vs Vihren
0:2
Nov 13, 2004 Vtora liga
Vihren vs Gorna
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vihren 32 / 100
Gorna 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vihren Gorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Vihren scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Gorna has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: Vihren stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vihren VS Gorna
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vihren

(Home)
17 Oct
Vihren
1 : 2
Lok. Sofia
09 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 0
Vihren
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4
Vihren
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Nesebar
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
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Gorna

(Away)
17 Oct
Gorna
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
10 Oct
Rilski Sportist
0 : 0
Gorna
04 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 3
Gorna
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
0 : 1
Gorna
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Sofia II 12 7 3 2 23:9 24
2 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
3 Chernomorets 1919 12 7 3 2 21:8 24
4 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
5 Rilski Sportist 12 5 4 3 14:10 19
6 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
7 Nesebar 12 5 3 4 20:17 18
8 Beroe 12 5 3 4 18:15 18
9 Gorna 12 4 5 3 9:10 17
10 Hebar 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
11 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
12 Marek 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
13 Ludogorets II 11 4 3 4 12:12 15
14 Spartak Pleven 12 4 2 6 12:23 14
15 Montana 12 3 2 7 15:26 11
16 Svoge 12 2 4 6 8:13 10
17 Dobrudzha 12 2 3 7 12:21 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 12 0 1 11 5:34 1
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)