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Vihren vs Lok. Sofia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Bulgarian Cup
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Bulgarian Cup. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Lok. Sofia have shipped 1.65 goals a game lately, while Vihren have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.82. Head-to-head, Vihren have won 2 to Lok. Sofia's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 25, 2014, ending 5:3. xG projections (1.94 - 1.19) back Vihren to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Vihren
15%
Draws
37%
Lok. Sofia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vihren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Sofia haven't matched Vihren's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vihren's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Vihren have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Vihren, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vihren Clean Sheet 20%
Lok. Sofia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vihren Lok. Sofia
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 16 6
Draws 5 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.82 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2014 Club Friendly
Lok. Sofia vs Vihren
5:3
Jan 26, 2011 Club Friendly
Lok. Sofia vs Vihren
4:1
Feb 20, 2010 Club Friendly
Vihren vs Lok. Sofia
1:0
Mar 18, 2009 efbet League
Lok. Sofia vs Vihren
2:0
Aug 22, 2008 efbet League
Vihren vs Lok. Sofia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vihren 49 / 100
Lok. Sofia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vihren Lok. Sofia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vihren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lok. Sofia let in goals in 85% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Vihren's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vihren went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vihren VS Lok. Sofia
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vihren

(Home)
09 Oct
Yantra Gabrovo
1 : 0
Vihren
03 Oct
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 4
Vihren
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Nesebar
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
Page 1 of 6

Lok. Sofia

(Away)
03 Oct
Lok. Sofia
4 : 1
Radnicki Nis
20 Sept
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Lok. Sofia
16 Sept
Lok. Sofia
0 : 2
CSKA Sofia
11 Sept
Cherno More
2 : 2
Lok. Sofia
06 Sept
Lok. Sofia
1 : 2
Ludogorets
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Chernomorets Balchik 2
Etar 3
TBD -
Spartak Varna -
Natsional Sofia 1
Gorna 3
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv 1
Botev Ihtiman 0
TBD -
Arda -
Balkan Botevgrad 0
Fratria 3
TBD -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas 2
Svoge 1
TBD -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Botev Novi Pazar 1
Vihren 4
TBD -
Lok. Sofia -
Benkovski 0
Akademik Svishtov 3
TBD -
Slavia Sofia -
Oborishte Panagyurishte 1
Yantra Gabrovo 3
TBD -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Zagorets 0
Rilski Sportist 4
TBD -
Dunav Ruse -
Minyor Pernik 1
Beroe 2
TBD -
Ludogorets -
Volov Shumen 0
Chernomorets 1919 2
TBD -
Botev Plovdiv -
Krumovgrad 1
Spartak Pleven 2
TBD -
Levski Sofia -
Chavdar Troyan 0
Marek 4
TBD -
Cherno More -
Rodopa Smolyan 1
Nesebar 3
TBD -
CSKA Sofia -
Lokomotiv Mezdra 2
Pirin Blagoevgrad 3
Yambol 1915 0
Hebar 5
Belasitsa Petrich 1
Dobrudzha 2
Bdin Vidin 0
Montana 2
1/16-finals
Etar -
Spartak Varna -
Gorna -
Septemvri Sofia -
Spartak Plovdiv -
Arda -
Fratria -
Botev Vratsa -
Neftochimic Burgas -
CSKA 1948 Sofia -
Vihren -
Lok. Sofia -
Akademik Svishtov -
Slavia Sofia -
Yantra Gabrovo -
Lok. Plovdiv -
Rilski Sportist -
Dunav Ruse -
Beroe -
Ludogorets -
Chernomorets 1919 -
Botev Plovdiv -
Spartak Pleven -
Levski Sofia -
Marek -
Cherno More -
Nesebar -
CSKA Sofia -
Pirin Blagoevgrad -
Hebar -
Dobrudzha -
Montana -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -