Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vihren vs Marek

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Spartak Stadium, Sandanski
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vihren host Marek in the Vtora liga. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Vihren have averaged 1.81 scored and 0.93 conceded recently, against Marek's 0.93 scored and 0.89 conceded. Past meetings favor Vihren slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.06) point toward Vihren. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Vihren
15%
Draws
31%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vihren

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Marek haven't matched Vihren's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vihren a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Vihren Clean Sheet 20%
Marek Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vihren Marek
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.81 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Vihren vs Marek
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Vtora liga
Marek vs Vihren
1:0
Oct 6, 2025 Vtora liga
Vihren vs Marek
2:0
Sep 6, 2023 Bulgarian Cup
Vihren vs Marek
4:3
May 27, 2023 Third League - South-West
Vihren vs Marek
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vihren 85 / 100
Marek 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vihren Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vihren Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vihren scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Vihren remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Marek conceded in 48% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Vihren VS Marek
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vihren

(Home)
27 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Nesebar
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Vihren
2 : 0
Dobrudzha
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
03 Sept
Vihren
4 : 1
Etar
Page 1 of 6

Marek

(Away)
26 Sept
Gorna
0 : 0
Marek
20 Sept
Marek
1 : 3
Rilski Sportist
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 11 7 3 1 25:11 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 11 6 4 1 17:8 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
6 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
7 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
9 Yantra Gabrovo 11 5 1 5 12:11 16
10 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
11 Etar 10 4 2 4 17:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)